Cikgu vs Lelaki CCTV

"Tu siapa tu?"

"Kes cikgu vs wiring"

"Kenapa orang sebar?"

"Yang kita geram, apasal dia tak ganyang laki dia?"

"Tu la salahkan orang luar padahal salah pasangan. Tepuk sebelah tangan tak bunyi"

"Tersebar WhatsApp dia tapi kita tak baca pun"

"Habis masa depan, kerja, nama baik, reputasi haih. Keluarga lagi"

"Tak takut dosa ke menduakan suami? Kita tak la sokong tapi acam kesian. Done meluah. Maceh dengar"

28/5

Media sosial

"Actually, kita kan nak abang ada medsos"

"Buat apa?"

"Kita acam suka tengok hubby orang wish dekat wife memasing 'Happy Anniversary', 'Happy Birthday'. Acam best baca husband orang tulis sweet sweet bersemut untuk wife dia orang"

"Hmm"

"Sampailah kita faham…abang tak macam tu…abang tak macam yang kita harap-harapkan…abang tak romantik. Sangatlah jauh nak tulis dekat public sweet acam tu…honestly, kita sedih. Abang handsome, soft spoken, gentle, workaholic, pandai, semualah tapi tak romantik"

"Hmm……"

"Abang tak kelakar. Serius aje"

"…………"

"Astu baran"

"Abang minta maaf tak jadi macam yang Ara nak…"

"Your love is quiet. It doesn’t ask to be seen. No grand gestures, no noise. Just presence. Just care. Just me and you. Now I understand, abang"

"Air rendaman dah siap. Mandi, lepas tu abang urut badan"

"Okey"

_

"Ara yang mengendap abang haaaa"

"Tak eh. Kita cari abang"

"Kejab nak habiskan jump rope"

"Tiba aje shirtless siap topi koboi. Apa eh point shirtless masa kita takde"

"Kata hari tu tengok otot boleh naikkan mood perempuan hehe"

"Nak tengok pun susah"

"Ara…bagi abang habis workout lepas tu kita bincang"

"Kita nak marah aje dengan abang. Tak tahu kenapa"

_

"Abang dah pesan jangan lintas masa abang training. Nasib tak kena pisau"

"Biar la kita"

"Kalau kena luka dalam. Dah, keluar. Bahaya dalam ni. Abang training benda tajam"

_

"Ra, setengah jam lagi abang habis. Tinggal boxing workout"

"Kenapa tak kawin aje dengan gym? Buat apa kawin dengan kita"

_

"Lagi berapa hari kita nak pergi bercuti. Jangan la gaduh-gaduh. Budak-budak tengah seronok nak main pantai, panjat bukit. Kenapa bad mood?"

"Entah"

"Abang tak larat teka-teka. Bagitahu kan senang"

"Takde salah pun"

"Habis tu kenapa marah?"

"Tak tahu"

19/6

Nafsu lelaki

Video

"Lelaki akan ada nafsu sampai mati. Kalau perempuan faham benda ni, semua jadi senang"

"Kita faham sebab abang fahamkan kita"

"Tapi tu tak beragak la habis semua orang tengok. Dah semua dapat dosa kering mengata dia"

"Itu aje point kita senanya"

"Bagi la video Bubu ada jugak faedah. Janganlah kamu mengintip atau mencari-cari kesalahan dan keaiban orang lain. Itu termasuk dalam perbuatan tajassus. Berdosa besar"

"Bukan kita eh. Kita tunjuk abang aje"

28/4

Pilihan sendiri

"Mak dia takkan tolong dia"

"Mana abang tahu?"

"Dah mak dia tak suka laki tu. Tak bagi kawin. Dia nak jugak. Mak dia tak terkejut pun tengok hidup dia hari ni. Orang tua dah tahu apa akan jadi akan datang. Sekali tengok dia dah tahu apa jadi hidup anak dia nanti"

"Astu mak dia sanggup tengok anak susah?"

"Dah tu pilihan dia. Orang tua hati keras. Tak adanya dia nak kesian kalau dulu tak nak dengar nasihat. Habis pun dia cakap dulu nasihat tak nak dengar. Sekarang terima je la. Nasi dah jadi bubur"

"Acam sama ayat Bonda aje mmm mmm"

"Sama-sama makan garam hahaha"

28/4

Video

"Kenapa eh video ni naik dekat FB kita?"

"Video apa?"

"Tengok laaa. Penat tau kita sent"

"Nanti la"

"Dengar tau kita baca komen 'I married a man who stayed in love with someone else throughout our entire marriage. It was an arranged marriage. I kept forgiving him, hoping God would make him love me one day. I've come to accept that I'll never have his heart the way she always did'"

"………"

"That happened to me in the past. In the end, he divorced me for her. But Allah blessed me with someone who truly loves me now. Alhamdulillah"

"………"

"And this... this is probably my future. I've been with someone for the past 10 years. We want to get married, but deep down I know we won't. Staying together would mean saying goodbye to our families, and I'm not ready for that. I wish him all the happiness in the world, but I don't know how I'll cope on the day he marries someone else and I live a life with another man the life we both once dreamt of sharing together"

19/4

Jaga imej

"Apasal abang trim?"

"Ara nak ke orang cakap mana la lawyer tu dapat laki. Dengan serabainya, selekeh pulak tu. Tak ada orang lain ke nak buat laki. Nak?"

"Tak nak"

"Habis tu?"

"Susah la cakap dengan abang"

"Laki pun kena jaga imej bini. Tak nak orang cakap belakang, bini dapat nama busuk. Orang perhati setiap perbuatan kita, penampilan kita, penampilan pasangan kita, anak-anak kita"

"Jangan la ceramahkan kita"

19/4

Bangga dengan pasangan

"Mesti la dia bangga dengan bini dia. Tengok cara berdiri pun tahu. Pakai pun kemas"

"Ajaib eh abang ingat dia"

"Ingat sebab dulu laki dia sambung belajar UK. Bini cuti setahun teman dekat sana"

"Masa tu dia orang takde anak. Astu kita tunjuk gambar ada anak, abang tanya kenapa bini dia nampak letih"

"Ara cakap laki dia busy"

"Astu sekarang senyap-senyap dapat Master dekat UK. Anak husband jaga"

"Dia habis belajar sebab dapat suami bagi sokongan kuat. Macam tu lah suami isteri, saling menyokong antara satu sama lain. Sama-sama suka ilmu, sama-sama pergi kelas, sama-sama sambung belajar, sama-sama baca buku"

19/4

Kereta besar

"Tu nak pergi berperang ke camping? Camping apa macam kereta kebal"

"Abang tak kenal ke perempuan tu?"

"Tak. Siapa tu?"

"Siapa pun abang tak kenal. Caveman betul"

"Tua kan. Mana tahu apa"

23/5

Ary

"Susah wey. Lubang tak kasi. Minyak kereta wa isi. Banyak anat arrr"

"Laa baru tahu geng bini-bini malas isi minyak? Slow la lu"

"Minyak empty tank. Dia suruh wa isi. Sibat"

"Kau angkat satu Tesla. Senang, tak payah isi minyak. Dulu nak charge guna apps, sekarang tak payah. Charge dekat rumah pun boleh. Kalau running jauh, bawak power bank. Tapi dekat rumah, aku jugak yang kena cas. Hidup jadi lelaki kena pandai cari solusi. Dunia tak nak dengar orang lelaki cakap letih. Nanti orang kata kita lembik. Jangankan nak pinjam bahu bersandar, baru mengadu dah kena cop complaint. Dunia tak simpati dengan laki, bro. Nak mengadu, mengadu pada Allah"

"Wa banyak stres. Rumah tongkang pecah, kereta serupa tong sampah. Bikin wa mental"

"Hantar je la car wash"

"Apa pasai arr perempuan itu macam. Wa nasihat dia buat dekkk"

"Dah itu kelemahan dia, kita terima je la. Isteri kita jugak. Sikit-sikit salah tu kita pejam mata, pandang kebaikan yang dia buat. Aku pun tengah latih diri aku jugak. Dia goreng ayam minyak mercik ke lantai. Dulu aku panas hati, aku bising. Sekarang ni, aku pandang dia goreng ayam untuk Adam makan. Adam suka ayam goreng. Pandang nikmat yang dia bagi pada anak. Letih pun dia bangun goreng kalau anak mintak, tapi jangan tanya kenapa dia tak guna air fryer. Tu "love language" nak cari gaduh dengan aku. Perempuan suka gaduh. Ada hari nak gaduh, kita gaduh. Hari lain malas layan, bolayan"

"Wa nampak bini lu lembut. Wa tatau susah bela"

"Mana ada susah bela. Dia serba-serbi indah. Baik budi pekerti, akhlak mulia, aurat tutup rapi, jaga ikhtilat, apa aku cakap dengar, taat apa aku suruh. Allah…sebagai isteri tak ada tandingan dengan orang lain. Aku nak dia masuk syurga paling tinggi. Perempuan ni ada macam-macam ragam. Kau layan la ragam dia tu. Mana ada buku manual. Semua orang kompleks sebelum jadi senang sama macam bini kita pandang kita"

"Kasi ajar apa wa perlu buat"

"Laa apa aku pulak kena ajar. Aku bini pun satu. Lu bini dah berapa"

"Wa stuck. Wa tak boleh fikir maa"

"Jangan suruh dia jadi apa kita nak. Jangan paksa benda dia tak suka buat. Jangan buat benda yang dia tak suka. Berlembut dengan dia. Ego kena buang. Kau bawak ego, aku pun mati otak nak fikir"

"Wa rindu janda lama wa…"

"Itu la sesal dulu pendapatan, sesal kemudian tak berguna. Nasi dah jadi bubur"

18/5

_

"Rimau lu dah tidur?"

"Singa gua kirja. Turn gua jaga anak"

"Wa serabut arr. Wa gaduh sama bini"

"Kenapa?"

"Tak dapat pantat"

"Gila straight tak ada cover hahahaha"

"Antat arr. Tekanan wa real"

"Dia tak larat kot"

"Wa pantang kena reject. Angin terus naik berdesup"

"Bawak sabar. Jangan ikut rasa. Sakit bini tu nanti. Kesian dia"

"Banyak panas wa punya hati sekarang ni. Macam takde outlet"

"Sabar bro. Tak semua benda boleh lepas dengan marah. Kadang kena belajar tunduk sikit supaya rumah tangga tak tumbang. Kita lelaki. Tapi power kita bukan tangan. Power kita bila kita tahu bila kena diam bila kena peluk bini walau tengah marah hahahahaha"

"Pundek"

19/5

Ary

"Kejab lagi aku bagi syarahan bising, tapi aku nak cakap jugak. Lelaki perlu lebih dalam 3 perkara - Ilmu, Amal Ibadah, Harta dan Pendapatan. Imam al-Ghazali pesan suami perlu lebih berbanding isteri barulah di hormati - Umur yang lebih tua, ketinggiaan lebih tinggi, lebih harta, kedudukan atau keturunan yang lebih baik. Lagi banyak lebih, lagi baik. Sekian tips memilih calon isteri"

"Masalahnya bini gua egois"

"Tu pasal tiba rindu bini lama?"

"Susah mau handle maaa"

"Masaklah lu. Padan muka hahahahaha"

"Babi!"

"Guna la hammer drill apa lagi"

"Gua tak dapat arrr. Susah mau kasi lubang"

"Kesian hahaha"

"Banyak pundek"

"Kena sabar. Api lawan api lagi marak. Kena jadi air. Air lu kan banyak. Hah apa guna"

"Susah mau jinak. Ikut sama dia punya kapla"

"Itu la dapat yang dengar cakap tak nak jaga. Ni dapat sang egois, aku pun angkat tangan. Perempuan semua baik, kena cara berubah tapi lu kena makan hati berulam jantung dulu la. Tahan ke hahahaha. Ini pun jenis ego mana mau nak mengalah"

"Kirim salam, bai"

"Habis macam mana nak jinak. Perempuan ni dia ikut kita. Kita lembut dengan dia, lembut la dia. Kita keras tak tentu pasal, hah lu tunggu buah dia kasi"

"Gua takde masa arrr nak layan"

"Jangan lu penat jinak, brader lain rembat dah. Sayu hati tengok hahahaha. Perempuan yang suka kita, dia bagi kita jalan senang. Perempuan yang tak suka kita, macam-macam lu kena hadap. Hati mau kental. Muka kena tebal. Lu tak payah la layan game ni. Kena buang sedih pulak"

"Gua punya ego tinggi KLCC. Lu tak suka wa, lu blah. Apa pasai wa nak tunduk wa punya ego?"

"Bagus jugak ada pendirian macam lu tapi tu la gua kerja bahagian sales, muka tebal jiwa kental. Menitik air mata darah belum tentu jinak"

"Wa nak tukar line arr. Lu ada makwe baik, kasi call"

"Apa rasa tukar bini?"

"Syooooook oooo"

16/5

_

"Kau jangan gaduh merata la dol. Sana gaduh, sini gaduh"

"Gua cakap benda real. If he good for your hole, doesn’t mean he’s best for your soul"

"Kau ni la"

"Focus on goals, not a hole"

"Mana la dia tak mengamuk"

"Love isn’t about presence, it’s about effort"

"Kau pergi bahan gegirl dalam group tu buat apa. Duuu. Dah tahu memang spesis kita takkan menang lawan dengan perempuan. Kau cucuh api"

"Come on, man. A hole can’t produce anything without our great swimmer kahkahkah"

"Berapi feminis kalau dengar"

17/5

Cerita silam

"Kita dah rosakkan holiday acam selalu kita buat"

"Taklah. Mana ada. Tu kan dah lama dulu"

"Semalam tu mmmm…sorry…"

"Kalau tahu mesti Ara tak bagi abang tengok, kan?"

"Ha'a"

"Jangan salahkan diri"

-

Semalam, sebelum tidur, Ara menonton sebuah video pendek. Aku berbaring di sebelahnya—ingin menonton bersama. Kisahnya tentang seorang lelaki yang ditinggalkan kekasih kerana tidak mempunyai kerjaya dan kewangan yang stabil. Setelah berpisah, lelaki ini bekerja keras—tanpa jemu, tanpa henti. Akhirnya, dia berjaya. Dalam salah satu babak, lelaki itu pengsan akibat keletihan dan dikejarkan ke hospital. Di wad, dia disapa seorang doktor muda—senyuman manis, mata tenang, tutur lembut. Sesuatu yang jarang ditemui. Lelaki itu jatuh cinta.

Selepas keluar dari hospital, dia mendapati bekas kekasihnya berada di rumah—ingin kembali menjalin hubungan. Namun, dia menolak. Perasaannya telah berubah. Dia segera ke hospital, menemui doktor tersebut dan dengan tenang bertanya, "Pukul berapa syif awak berakhir?". Lalu dia mengajak perempuan itu keluar. Cerita pun tamat. Aku diam, pura-pura tidak terkesan dan cuba mengabaikan. Ara rasa bersalah walaupun itu bukanlah salah dia. Dia tak tahu jalan cerita. Kalau tahu tentu dia tak benarkan aku menonton bersama. 

Suva, Fiji

24-06-2025

Post-Operation Midnight Hammer

I. MILITARY DIMENSIONS

1. U.S. Precision Strikes: Operation Midnight Hammer

• Primary Targets: Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan.

• Delivery Assets:

• B-2 Spirit bombers deployed from Missouri—18-hour sortie.
• 14 GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrators (MOPs)—penetrated 200+ feet underground.
• 24 Tomahawk missiles launched from a U.S. submarine in the Persian Gulf. 

• Outcome:

• U.S. claims complete degradation of nuclear enrichment infrastructure.
• Iran confirms structural damage but denies radioactive contamination.

2. Iran-Israel Kinetic Exchange

• Iran launched 30+ missiles toward Israeli territory—4 struck, causing casualties and infrastructure damage.

• Israel retaliated with aerial bombardments on western Iran.

• Missile Systems Involved: Iran utilized advanced Kheibar Shekan (1,400 km range).

II. GEOPOLITICAL REACTIONS AND ALIGNMENTS

1. Iranian Response

• Foreign Minister Araghchi condemned the strikes as a transgression of sovereignty, warning of retaliatory action “by all means necessary.”

• Iranian Parliament passed legislation authorizing closure of the Strait of Hormuz, pending Supreme National Security Council approval.

• Diplomatic overtures made to Russia, initiating high-level security consultations with President Putin.

2. International Responses

• Russia: Condemned U.S.-Israeli strikes as “an egregious breach of international law.”

• United Nations & IAEA: No radiation leaks reported; warned of severe consequences should attacks on Bushehr nuclear plant escalate.

• Oman: Criticized the strikes while maintaining navigational neutrality in the Strait of Hormuz.

III. ESCALATION SCENARIOS AND RETALIATORY PATHWAYS

High-Probability Retaliation Vectors

• Closure of the Strait of Hormuz:

• Would disrupt 20% of global oil and LNG supply.
• Estimated to push oil prices above $100–130/barrel, inducing global inflationary shock.

• Proxy Attacks via Regional Networks:

• Houthis: Potential targeting of Red Sea and Gulf shipping routes.
• Iraqi militias: Likely to conduct drone and rocket attacks on U.S. assets in Iraq and Syria.
• Hezbollah: Could open northern front against Israel.
• Impact: Risks entangling the U.S. in a wider regional war and destabilizing global energy markets.

Mid-Probability Strategic Escalations

• Nuclear Reconstitution:

• Possible withdrawal from the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT).
• Accelerated uranium enrichment at clandestine sites.
• Risk of nuclear arms race across the Middle East.

• Cyber Warfare Campaigns:

• Potential attacks on U.S. critical infrastructure (energy, finance, health).
• Threats to Gulf oil installations (e.g., Aramco).

Long-Term Asymmetric Threats

• Terrorism on U.S./Israeli Soil:

• Mobilization of IRGC-linked sleeper cells in Western nations.

• Ballistic Missile Escalation:

• Targeting key U.S. bases (Al-Udeid, Incirlik) or civilian centers in Israel.

• Geopolitical Realignment:

• Formal military cooperation with Russia; expedited delivery of S-500 air defense systems and Su-35 fighters.
• Strategic refugee manipulation to destabilize Turkey and Europe.

IV. DOMESTIC AND ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS (UNITED STATES)

1. Political Fallout

• Presidential Overreach Allegations: President Trump bypassed Congressional authorization, prompting bipartisan criticism.

• Partisan Reactions:

• Democrats warn of escalation without mandate.
• GOP factions split—some isolationist, others supportive of decisive action.

2. Economic Repercussions

• Stock Market Volatility: Immediate selloff amid fears of war.

• Oil Market Impact: Futures spike to $85–100/barrel.

• Sectoral Winners: Defense industry stocks (e.g., Lockheed Martin) rallied sharply.

• Commercial Disruptions: Airlines reroute flights away from the Middle East.

V. HUMANITARIAN AND ENVIRONMENTAL COSTS

• Casualties:

• Over 430 Iranian fatalities and 24 Israeli deaths reported.

• Information Suppression: Internet blackouts limit Iranian civilian reporting.

• Nuclear Facility Risks:

• Potential uranium hexafluoride leaks pose toxicity risks (not radiation per se).
• Bushehr reactor damage could trigger a Chernobyl-style meltdown if cooling systems fail.

VI. STRAIT OF HORMUZ: STRATEGIC ANALYSIS

1. Legal and Geographic Constraints

• Strait spans 39–96 km, divided between Iranian and Omani territorial waters.

• Iran cannot unilaterally enforce a full closure under international maritime law.

• Alternative routing via Omani waters remains viable but risk-prone.

2. Iranian Capabilities

• Asymmetric Disruption: Sea mines, fast-attack craft, drone strikes.

• Full Blockade: Operationally possible but politically and economically self-destructive.

3. Strategic Blowback

• Iran’s Oil Revenue Risk:

• Iran exports 1.84 million bpd to China; closure halts this lifeline.
• Estimated revenue loss: $50 million/day.

• Global Diplomatic Backlash:

• Closure would alienate Gulf partners and invite enhanced U.S. naval presence.

VII. ENERGY INDEPENDENCE: U.S. OIL REALITY CHECK

1. Production Capacity

• The U.S. is the world’s largest oil producer, extracting over 12 million bpd in 2024.

• Achieved net exporter status in 2020 due to the shale revolution (Permian Basin, Bakken Formation).

2. Ownership Model

• Private Mineral Rights: Unique to the U.S., enabling individuals to lease drilling rights or earn royalties (12.5–25%).

• "Bundle of Rights" includes leasing, royalties, and bonus payments.

3. Operational Dependencies

• Refinery Constraints: Most U.S. refineries are optimized for heavy crude, requiring imports.

• Infrastructure Gaps: Pipeline limitations hinder optimal distribution.

• Strategic Imports: ~8 million bpd still imported for flexibility and geopolitical balance.

4. Market Exposure

• Despite production dominance, the U.S. remains vulnerable to global price volatility, particularly from Middle Eastern disruptions.

VIII. STRATEGIC CONCLUSIONS

1. Tactical Success, Strategic Risk: U.S. strikes have crippled Iran’s nuclear infrastructure—but hardened Tehran’s resolve.

2. Hormuz Closure as Economic Weapon: Viable for pressure, but economically suicidal for Iran if prolonged.

3. Proxy Warfare Likely: Iran will prefer asymmetric engagements over direct confrontation—enhancing deniability.

4. Global Oil Security Fragility: Asian economies are disproportionately exposed to Hormuz instability.

5. Diplomacy in Decline: Negotiation channels have collapsed; war of attrition and economic shock likely to follow.

6. U.S. Strategic Edge: Energy independence provides cushion, but not immunity, against global ripple effects.

Perhatian

"Perang, kerja, perang, kerja. Senanya bawa kita holiday ke acam mana?"

"Eh? Kata nak tidur?"

"Ha'a tapi cakap la tapaya tidur ke teman abang ke. Kita nak tidur biar aje"

"Pulak"

"Kita takde kan dalam otak abang?"

"Ada"

"Nampak tu. Pandang la sini"

"Dari Cyprus bawa ke sini meragam. Cuba cakap Ara nak apa?"

"Kita kesunyiaan tau"

"Kesunyiaan apanya sehari berkepit"

"Abang kepit dengan kita ke kembar? Abang tak bagi perhatian dekat kita pun"

"Emotional intimacy cukup, physical intimacy kot tak cukup. Nak?"

"Ada ke tanya acam tu"

"Complicated betul orang perempuan ni"

"Dah la. Nak tidur. Night"

_

"Singa…bangun…"

"Tak nak"

"Eh tak tidur"

*muncung*

_

"Eyy singa"

"Tak kenal awak"

"Saya, yang handsome ni, takkan tak kenal"

"Tak kenal. Awak tak famous"

"Saya famous dalam hati awak je"

"Tak cairrrrr pun"

"Seumur hayat hamba berkelana, tiadalah yang setanding wajah tuan menyinar kalbu yang dahaga"

"Abangggggggg!"

"Hahahahahaha"

Nadi, Fiji

22-06-2025

Japan’s Strategic Shift

Japan's Strategic Signaling in the Taiwan Strait: A Multifaceted Response to Chinese Assertiveness

1. Japan’s Calculated Escalation: From Strategic Restraint to Assertiveness

Deliberate Timing of Naval Maneuver:

• On June 12, 2025, JS Takanami transited the Taiwan Strait—five days after a Chinese J-15 flew within 45 meters of a Japanese P-3C surveillance aircraft in the Western Pacific (June 7–8).

• The sequencing underscores Japan's intent to signal strategic resolve rather than de-escalate tensions.

Abandonment of Past Restraint:

• Historically, Japan avoided Taiwan Strait transits to minimize provocation with China.

• This marks the third transit within one year (Sept 2024, Feb 2025, June 2025), reflecting a policy recalibration.

Justification Through Normative Framing:

• Japan positions the operation as a defense of "freedom of navigation" and adherence to international law.

• Actions are closely aligned with U.S. Indo-Pacific Strategy and 2022 National Security Strategy of Japan, which called China the “greatest strategic challenge.”

Chinese Military Response:

The PLA Navy and Air Force monitored the transit in real-time, reflecting heightened sensitivity and an increasingly zero-sum security posture by Beijing.

2. Strategic Convergence with the Philippines: From Symbolism to Operational Integration

Sequenced Deterrence across Maritime Theaters:

• After the Taiwan Strait transit, JS Takanami proceeded directly to the Luzon Strait and South China Sea, conducting joint exercises with the Philippine Navy on June 15, 2025.

• This maneuver links the Taiwan and South China Sea flashpoints, reinforcing the geographic continuity of deterrence.

Trilateral & Minilateral Security Architecture:

• On June 20, Japan hosted trilateral coast guard drills with the U.S. and the Philippines near Kagoshima, simulating:

Maritime search & rescue

• Fire suppression and collision response

• Crisis coordination under gray-zone scenarios

Institutionalizing Access and Intelligence-Sharing:

• Japan and the Philippines have ratified a Reciprocal Access Agreement (RAA), mirroring those Japan maintains with Australia and the United Kingdom.

• This allows legal basing rights, pre-positioning of assets, and shared use of military facilities.

Message to Beijing:

These actions present a coordinated checkmate strategy, enhancing deterrence across multiple domains and pressure points.

3. China's Gray-Zone Escalation: Synchronized Military and Cyber Pressure

Military Normalization of Coercion:

• Taiwan reported that within 24 hours of the Takanami’s transit, 50 PLA aircraft and 6 warships operated near its ADIZ—indicative of routine encirclement operations.

• These activities constitute a form of strategic conditioning, intended to exhaust Taiwan’s readiness and erode public morale.

Massive Cyber Offensive:

• In 2024, Taiwan experienced an average of 2.4 million cyberattacks per day, doubling 2023 levels.

Majority traced to Chinese state-sponsored APTs, such as:

• APT41 (Double Dragon)

• RedDelta

• Mustang Panda

Primary Targets:

• Critical Infrastructure: Airports, seaports, water systems, power grids.

• Government Networks: Particularly during PLA military drills (e.g., during "Joint Sword" exercises).

• Disinformation Campaigns: Amplification of anti-government sentiment using deepfakes and fake social media accounts.

Strategic Intent:

Per Booz Allen Hamilton and Taiwan’s NSB, the aim is to achieve “annexation without kinetic conflict,” leveraging psychological, digital, and informational warfare.

4. Multinationalization of Deterrence: Toward an East Asian Security Bloc

Regional Coalition Emergence:

• The so-called "Squad" (U.S., Japan, Australia, Philippines) is transitioning from ad hoc coordination to a de facto deterrence coalition.

• South Korea and the United Kingdom are increasingly integrated—e.g., HMS Spey conducted its own Taiwan Strait transit on June 18, 2025.

Escalation Risks & Strategic Entanglement:

• The Quincy Institute warns of Taiwan-South China Sea conflation, particularly if U.S. forces base more assets in northern Luzon, close to Taiwan.

Chinese Strategic Perception:

• Beijing interprets this alignment as a "containment bloc," potentially justifying more aggressive kinetic or hybrid responses, such as:

• More close encounters (as seen June 7)
• Expansion of ADIZ claims
• Declaration of an Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) over Taiwan or South China Sea

5. Key Timeline of Incidents & Strategic Signals

June 7–8, 2025:

• Chinese J-15 approaches JMSDF P-3C to within 45 meters – a near-collision and extreme provocation.

June 12, 2025:

• JS Takanami transits the Taiwan Strait—third such mission within one year.

June 15, 2025:

• Takanami conducts joint naval drills with the Philippine Navy off Luzon.

June 18, 2025:

• UK's HMS Spey transits the Taiwan Strait—signaling NATO-linked presence in Indo-Pacific.

June 20, 2025:

• US-Japan-Philippines coast guard exercises simulate maritime crisis coordination in Kagoshima.

2024 average:

• Cyberattacks on Taiwan exceed 2.4 million/day, with Chinese-linked groups targeting both infrastructure and morale.

Conclusion: A Precarious New Normal in the Indo-Pacific

• Japan’s recent maneuvers reflect a strategic inflection point: from risk-aversion to active participation in regional deterrence.

• This signals a new doctrine of multilateral resistance to China’s “gray-zone coercion”—military, cyber, and legalistic.

• The convergence of kinetic signaling, digital warfare, and alliance formalization has made the region increasingly fragile.

• The strategic paradox: stronger deterrence may heighten miscalculation, especially absent emergency communication channels between regional militaries.

• Balance of risk and resilience will determine whether deterrence prevails—or spirals into broader conflict.

The Iran Air Bridge

The reports of Chinese cargo planes (including flight CLX9877) disappearing from radar near Iranian airspace, despite being logged as Luxembourg-bound, present a compelling case of covert logistics amid the Israel-Iran conflict.

1. Flight Anomalies Suggest Covert Operations

• Radar Blackouts: Three Boeing 747 freighters from China vanished from public tracking systems over Turkmenistan-Iran airspace after turning off transponders—a tactic atypical for civilian flights and often linked to clandestine activities.

• Suspicious Routing: Though flight plans listed Luxembourg as the destination, the aircraft never entered European airspace. Instead, they flew consistent paths toward Iran via Central Asia before disappearing.

• Aircraft Suitability: Boeing 747 freighters are commonly used for heavy cargo, including military equipment. Aviation experts note their frequent role in government-contracted arms transport.

2. China-Iran Strategic Alignment

• Energy Dependence: Iran supplies ~2 million barrels of oil daily to China, making stability in Tehran a critical economic interest for Beijing. Regime collapse would disrupt this flow and destabilize China’s energy security.

• Military Partnership: A 2021 China-Iran pact covers infrastructure, energy, and defense technology. Past incidents (e.g., Chinese drone parts disguised as wind turbines sent to Iran) reveal a pattern of circumventing sanctions.

• Anti-Western Solidarity: Both nations oppose the U.S.-led order and advocate for a "multi-polar" world, incentivizing Beijing to bolster Iran against Western pressure.

3. Timing Amid Escalating Israel-Iran Conflict

• Post-Strike Deliveries: The flights occurred just after Israel’s Operation Rising Lion targeted Iran’s nuclear facilities and military leadership (June 13–17, 2025). With Iranian air defenses weakened, the cargo could replenish critical supplies like missile components or drone tech.

• Iran’s Vulnerability: Israel’s strikes damaged uranium enrichment plants (e.g., Natanz) and killed senior commanders. Covert aid might prevent regime collapse—a scenario China fears could ignite regional chaos.

4. Global Repercussions

• U.S.-China Tensions: Overt military support could derail Beijing’s efforts to stabilize relations with Washington amid trade wars. The U.S. might impose secondary sanctions or heighten naval patrols.

• Nuclear Proliferation Risks: If shipments included missile tech, they could accelerate Iran’s nuclear program. Tehran has already threatened to quit the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), risking a cascade of nuclear ambitions globally.

• Regional Power Shift: Bolstering Iran could counter Israel’s air dominance and prolong the conflict. However, if exposed, it might unite Gulf states and the West against Sino-Iranian collaboration .

5. Plausible Deniability vs. Strategic Gambit

• Denial Tactics: Cargolux (partially Chinese-owned) denied entering Iranian airspace, blaming "faulty tracking data" . China’s Foreign Ministry has not commented, maintaining ambiguity.

• Calculated Risk: Beijing likely weighs short-term gains (preserving Iran’s regime) against long-term fallout. If proven, this move signals China’s readiness to use "gray zone" tactics—exploiting civilian logistics for military ends—to challenge U.S. influence .

A Shadow War Intensifies

The flights epitomize modern hybrid warfare: deniable, non-traditional, and escalatory. While proof of cargo contents remains elusive, the circumstantial evidence—routing anomalies, historical precedents, and geopolitical timing—strongly implies China is testing the boundaries of indirect intervention. This not only risks inflaming the Israel-Iran conflict but also signals Beijing’s intent to reshape West Asia’s power dynamics, one covert flight at a time. For regional stability, independent verification (e.g., IAEA or UN investigations) is urgent—yet diplomatically fraught .

Analysis of Russia's Warning on Iran

Core Elements:

1. Russia's Explicit Warning:

• Russia issued a direct, high-level threat: Any external attempt to overthrow Iran’s regime or assassinate Supreme Leader Khamenei will trigger a "very negative reaction" from Moscow.

• Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated that Russia would react "very negatively" if Ayatollah Khamenei were killed. 

• Peskov emphasized that regime change in Iran is "unacceptable" to Moscow, warning that such an act would "open the Pandora's box" and further destabilize the region. 

• He described the situation as "extremely tense and dangerous not only for the region but globally," cautioning that expanding the conflict's participants would only escalate confrontation and tension.

• This is a publicly declared red line, treating Iran’s security as a core Russian interest.

2. Credibility of the Threat:

• Russia possesses significant military capabilities and expeditionary experience (e.g., Syria).

• Iran is a critical strategic partner for Russia:

• Key supplier of drones/missiles for Russia’s war in Ukraine.

• Vital ally in challenging Western influence in the Middle East.

• Partner in evading Western sanctions.

• Russia’s global credibility as an ally depends on enforcing such red lines.

3. European Diplomatic Engagement:

• European leaders are actively holding talks with Iran.

This reflects:

• Acute awareness of escalation risks, especially Russian involvement.

• Prioritization of de-escalation as the primary path to avoid catastrophe.

• Potential strategic divergence from more confrontational US/Israeli approaches.

4. High Volatility & Instability:

• The environment is a "tinderbox" with multiple active flashpoints (e.g., Israel-Hezbollah tensions, Gaza, attacks on shipping).

• Severe risk of miscalculation: A single kinetic event (e.g., strike, assassination, drone attack) could shatter diplomacy and trigger uncontrolled escalation.

5. Escalatory Impact of Russia’s Warning:

• Russia’s statement raises global stakes, transforming regional conflict into a potential US/NATO-Russia confrontation.

• It injects heightened tension into an already unstable geopolitical climate.

Inherent Risks (Current State):

• Deterrence Instability: Russia’s red line forces a response if crossed, increasing escalation risks.

• Ambiguity Threshold: Unclear definitions of "regime overthrow" or "assassination attempt" could trigger miscalculation.

• Diplomatic Fragility: Any kinetic event could instantly undermine European efforts.

• Ukraine War Linkage: The Russia-Iran alliance is intensified by the Ukraine conflict, binding the two crises.

• Iran’s Existential Stakes: Tehran views threats to its regime or leadership as existential, guaranteeing severe retaliation.

Conclusion:

Russia’s public warning elevates its commitment to Iran’s regime survival to a level risking direct confrontation with the West. Concurrent European diplomacy highlights global recognition of extreme danger and efforts to contain escalation. The current environment is defined by unprecedented Russian alignment with Iran, acute volatility, and severe inherent risks of rapid, uncontrolled escalation from a single event. Great power interests now openly collide over Iran’s fate, creating a period of heightened peril.

SST Declaration for Property-Related Income

1. Treatment of Pre-Reform Income (Prior to 1 July 2025)

A. Margin-Based Profits (e.g., Property Flipping, Used Car Sales)

• Not subject to Sales and Service Tax (SST).

• Fully declarable under Income Tax (Form B / BE, as applicable).

B. Commission-Based Income

• Exempt from SST irrespective of quantum or frequency.

• Subject to income tax declaration via Form B / BE.

2. Post-Reform Income Taxation 

A. Commission-Based Income (Agency and Brokerage Activities)

SST Liability Criteria

• Applicable where annual commission income exceeds RM500,000 and

• Commissions are derived from commercial property transactions.

Taxation Rate

• SST imposed at 8% on taxable commissions.

SST Exemptions

• Annual commission income not exceeding RM500,000.

• Commissions derived solely from residential property transactions.

• Fees paid by registered property developers (classified as B2B services).

B. Margin-Based Profits (Trading / Dealer Activities)

1. Used Property Transactions

• SST applicable at 10% on profit margin.

• Computation Formula: SST Payable = 10% × (Selling Price – Purchase Price)

2. Scrap / Material Trade

• 0% SST for sales of raw scrap to licensed recyclers.

• 10% SST for processed scrap or sales to commercial entities.

3. Mandatory Compliance Requirements

A. Where Commission Income > RM500,000 (per annum)

• SST Registration: Mandatory under the Sales Tax Act 2018.

• SST Filing: Monthly via Form SST-02.

• Income Tax Filing: Annual via Form B.

B. Where Income Arises from Margin-Based Activities

• SST Registration: Mandatory.

• SST Filing: Monthly submission (Form SST-02).

• Income Tax Filing: Annual via Form B.

C. Where Commission Income ≤ RM500,000 (per annum)

• SST Registration: Not required.

• SST Filing: Not applicable.

• Income Tax Filing: Annual via Form B.

4. Record-Keeping and Documentation

A. Commission-Based Transactions

• Executed sale or lease agreements.

• Invoices reflecting SST (where applicable).

• Client classification records (B2B vs B2C designation).

B. Margin-Based Transactions

• Original purchase documentation.

• Sales agreements or receipts.

• Detailed margin computation records.

C. General Requirement for All Taxpayers

• Maintain bank statements and transaction records for a minimum of seven (7) years, as per statutory retention requirements.

5. Enforcement and Penalty Framework

• Failure to Register for SST: Financial penalties between RM1,000 and RM20,000.

• Underreporting of Taxable Income:

• SST penalty of up to 45% of unpaid tax.

• Income tax penalty of up to 100% on undeclared income.

Fraudulent Declarations:

• Imprisonment not exceeding 5 years,

•  Fines as stipulated under the Sales Tax Act and Income Tax Act.

6. Transitional Provisions

Grandfather Clause: Transactions governed by contracts executed prior to 1 July 2025 are exempt from the revised SST regime until contractual expiry, in accordance with transitional relief policies.

Key Takeaways

• Pre-1 July 2025: SST not applicable; only income tax applies.

• Post-1 July 2025: Dual compliance required (SST + income tax) for qualifying activities.

• Important Distinction: Differentiate residential (SST-exempt) from commercial (SST-applicable) commissions.

• Operational Advisory: Leverage JKDM’s official SST Calculator to ensure precise filings and avoid penalties.

Business Transactions

Malaysia SST Regulations 2025

SCRAP MATERIAL SALES

Tax-Exempt (0% SST):

• Raw ferrous/non-ferrous metal scrap (iron, copper, aluminum)

• Recyclable paper/plastic/glass waste
• Condition: Must sell to licensed recycling facilities

Taxable (10% SST):

• Processed scrap (shredded/pelletized materials)

• Sales to non-licensed buyers

• Industrial by-products with commercial value

SECOND-HAND CAR SALES

Margin Scheme (10% SST):

• Applies ONLY to registered car dealers

• Tax calculated on profit margin:`SST = 10% × (Selling Price - Purchase Price)`

• Example: Buy RM30k → Sell RM40k = SST RM1,000

Exempt Transactions:

• Private sales between individuals

• Vehicles > 10 years old

• Emergency/service vehicles

KEY REQUIREMENTS

For Scrap Sellers:

• Verify buyer's recycling license

• Raw materials only qualify for exemption

• Processed scrap taxed as "new goods"

For Car Dealers:

• Maintain original purchase invoices

• Imported used cars: Additional 10% LVG tax

• Trade-ins: Use trade-in value as purchase price

DOCUMENTATION

Scrap Sales Must Keep:

• Copy of buyer's recycling license

• Weighbridge/quality certificates

Used Car Dealers Must Keep:

• Original purchase invoice

• PUSPAKOM inspection report

• Margin calculation records

PENALTIES

• Scrap misclassification: 30% back-tax fine

• Unreported car profits: 100% penalty on evaded SST

Malaysia 10% SST Items

HOUSEHOLD GOODS

• Glass tableware (plates/cups): HS 7013

• Scented candles/air fresheners: HS 3406, 3307

• Photo frames/decor: HS 8306, 9405

• Ornamental plant pots: HS 6912

• Non-stick cookware: HS 7323, 7615

FOOD & BEVERAGES

• Chocolate/candy: HS 1806, 1704

• Chips/ice cream: HS 1905, 2105

• Frozen juices: HS 2009

• Soft drinks: HS 2202

• Sauces/margarine: HS 2103, 1517

• Commercial baked goods: HS 1905

PERSONAL CARE

• Facial cleansers: HS 3401

•  Toothpaste/soap: HS 3306, 3401

• Makeup/perfume: HS 3304, 3303

•  Hair products: HS 3305

• Aromatherapy oils: HS 3301

ACCESSORIES

•  Handbags/wallets: HS 4202

• Costume jewelry: HS 7117

•  Sunglasses: HS 9003

• Watches/clocks: HS 9101-9106

• Belts/hats: HS 4203, 6505

LEISURE ITEMS

• Board games/puzzles: HS 9504

• Sports equipment: HS 9506

• Art supplies: HS 3707, 4820

• Gift wrap/cards: HS 4909

OVERLOOKED ITEMS

• Premium pet food: HS 2309

• Designer phone cases: HS 4202

• Home gardening supplies: HS 3105

EXEMPT ESSENTIALS (0% SST)

•  Rice/fresh produce/eggs

• Raw meat/fish

• Unprocessed cooking staples

• Medicines/infant formula

SST Increase Impact

1. HS 44.08: Wood Veneer & Laminated Boards

• Previous rate: 0% or 5%
• New rate: 10% SST
• Uses: Wall panels, cabinet linings, plywood, furniture

Impact:

• Home renovation costs increase 5-10%

• Custom furniture prices rise

• Example: Kitchen cabinet costs up RM500-RM2000

2. HS 44.09: Parquet Flooring Strips

• Previous rate: 0% or 5%
• New rate: 10% SST
• Uses: Hardwood/bamboo flooring

Impact:

• Flooring installation costs surge

• Example: 1,000 sq ft flooring up RM1,000-3,000 

•  Home decoration budgets affected

3. HS 70.07: Safety Glass (Tempered/Laminated)

• Previous rate: 0% or 5%
• New rate: 10% SST
• Uses: Car windshields, house glass doors, office partitions

Impact:

• Car windshield replacement: +RM100+ per repair 

• Home glass installations: 5-10% price jump

• Office renovations more expensive

DIRECT CONSUMER IMPACTS:

• Housing affordability worsens

• Renovation projects become costlier

• Car maintenance expenses increase

• Furniture prices rise significantly

• Middle-income households hit hardest

ECONOMIC CHAIN EFFECT:

• Material costs increase 10%

• Contractors/manufacturers raise prices

• Property developers increase home prices

• End consumers bear final cost burden

GOVERNMENT RATIONALE:

• Targets "non-essential" materials

• Aims to increase tax revenue

• Claims basic construction materials (cement/sand) remain 0% SST

REALITY CHECK:

• Safety glass (car windshields) = necessity

• Wood flooring = basic housing material

• Policy contradicts "targeted luxury tax" claim

• Lower/middle-class bears disproportionate burden

LONG-TERM CONSEQUENCES:

• Home ownership becomes less affordable

• Renovation/repair delays increase

• Informal cash economy may grow

• Consumer spending power decreases

Israel-Iran Conflict

Strategic Force Repositioning in Response to Rising Israel-Iran Tensions

Amid escalating tensions between Israel and Iran, the United States has undertaken a substantial repositioning of military assets across Europe and the Middle East. Officially characterized as a precautionary defensive posture, the deployment enhances operational flexibility while signaling preparedness for a range of contingencies.

1. Aerial Refueling and Tactical Aircraft Redeployments

The U.S. Air Force has relocated over 30 KC-135 and KC-46 aerial refueling aircraft to strategic European bases, including Ramstein (Germany), Morón (Spain), Aviano (Italy), and Souda Bay (Greece). These movements expand refueling capacity for extended-range air operations in the event of further regional instability.

Fighter aircraft movements include:

•  F-15Es and F-35s from RAF Lakenheath (UK)

• F-16s from Spangdahlem (Germany) and Aviano (Italy)

• 12 F-16s shifted to Prince Sultan Air Base (Saudi Arabia)

These redeployments strengthen air patrol coverage and offer increased responsiveness for both defensive and deterrence missions.

2. Naval Assets and Maritime Readiness

The USS Nimitz carrier strike group, previously operating in the Indo-Pacific, has been reassigned to the Middle East to join the USS Carl Vinson. Each group includes multi-role fighter aircraft and guided-missile destroyers. Their presence enhances maritime situational awareness and provides a mobile platform for aerial and naval operations.

3. Strategic Bomber Considerations

B-52 bombers have been forward-based at Diego Garcia, situated within operational range of targets in the Middle East. B-2 stealth bombers—though not deployed forward—remain available from the U.S. mainland. These assets are capable of long-duration missions and are equipped to penetrate hardened facilities if required.

4. Official Position and Interpretative Assessments

According to U.S. Department of Defense statements, the deployments are intended to reinforce regional defense, protect U.S. military personnel (estimated at 40,000), and support allied defensive measures. 

However, some observers interpret the movements—particularly the synchronized deployments of refueling assets and advanced strike aircraft—as enabling extended operational reach. Analysts note the presence of these capabilities may serve both as a deterrent and a contingency platform should conflict expand or key regional chokepoints, such as the Strait of Hormuz, be affected.

5. Regional Reactions and Tensions

The Iranian government has publicly condemned the redeployments, viewing them as escalatory and aligned with Israeli military actions. Tehran has warned of potential regional consequences and reiterated its opposition to external intervention. Meanwhile, recent incidents—including strikes on energy-related infrastructure in Haifa (Israel) and South Pars (Iran)—have raised concerns of spillover beyond the Israel-Gaza theater.

The Strait of Hormuz remains a critical vulnerability, with roughly 20% of global oil shipments transiting the passage. Any disruption would carry extensive geopolitical and economic ramifications.

6. Economic Implications

Oil Market Response:

• Pre-conflict baseline: ~$64 per barrel

• Post-strike adjustment: +7%, reaching ~$78 per barrel

• Projected pricing under Hormuz disruption: $120–160 per barrel

Production Impacts:

• Iranian crude exports have reportedly dropped from 1.7 million barrels per day to approximately 102,000.

• Israel has reduced its natural gas output by 65%, with downstream effects on supply agreements with Egypt and Jordan.

Economic forecasters suggest sustained oil prices above $100 per barrel may elevate inflationary pressure globally by approximately 1%, particularly in advanced economies reliant on energy imports.

7. Strategic Outlook and Watchpoints

Scenarios:

• De-escalation: Diplomatic efforts succeed; deterrence holds; markets stabilize.

• Escalation: A miscalculation triggers broader hostilities; Strait of Hormuz impacted; regional and global supply chains disrupted.

Indicators to Monitor:

• Additional U.S. deployments, including F-22 or F-35 squadrons

• Iranian naval or ballistic missile movements in proximity to U.S. and allied forces

• Satellite and ISR activity focused on nuclear infrastructure and strategic chokepoints

Microsoft Office Substitutes

Alternatives to Microsoft Office:

1. LibreOffice
2. WPS Office
3. OnlyOffice
4. FreeOffice

Nota - 21 Oktober

Menurut penerima Hadiah Nobel terbaru, Geoffrey Hinton, Kecerdasan Buatan (AI) dijangka akan mempunyai kesedaran dan kebijaksanaan yang melebihi manusia dalam tempoh beberapa tahun akan datang.

Doa memudahkan urusan

اللَّهُمَّ لاَ سَهْلَ إِلَّا مَا جَعَلْتَهُ سَهْلاً وَأَنْتَ تَجْعَلُ الحُزْنَ إِذَا شِئْتَ سَهْلاً

Allaahumma laa sahla 'illaa maal ja'altahu sahlan wa 'Anta taj'alul-hazna 'ithaa shi'ta sahlan.

Terjemahan:

Ya Allah, tidak ada kemudahan kecuali sesuatu yang Engkau permudahkan, Engkau menjadikan kedukaan itu mudah sekiranya Engkau kehendaki.

Rujukan:

Ibn Hibban (Hadith no. 2427), Ibn As-Sunni (Hadith no. 351).

28-05-2025

Note – 28 May

Be cautious—especially when you are tired, upset, or angry. Words may be free, but their impact can come at a great cost. One careless sentence can bankrupt your reputation, rupture relationships, or erode years of hard-earned respect. Before you speak, check the price tag. A sharp tongue can cost more than a broken bank account—and leave scars deeper than silence ever would.

(Anonymous)

Note – 12 October 2024

Marriage is, quite literally, the one relationship that can unearth the darkest parts of you—sides you never even knew existed. No one will draw them out more intensely than your spouse.

(Anonymous)

Life is a race

The best opening remark during student orientation week was delivered by Dr. Viru Sahastrabuddhe, Professor at the Imperial College of Engineering:

"Remember — life is a race. If you don’t run fast enough, someone will overtake you and move ahead."

Note – 30 April

Most of the time, we don’t realise the true value of what we have until it’s gone. The worth of things is often recognised only after they are lost. Never take what you have for granted—you never know when it might no longer be there.

(Anonymous)

Note – 26 May

Some people don’t stay.

But they remain with you—

in every almost,

in every what if,

in the quiet moments no one else sees,

when your heart is grieving in silence.

(Anonymous)

Joystick

"Joystick? Benda main game tu?"

"Abang tahu?"

"Tahu"

"Orang tak main game pun tahu ehhh. Acam pelik"

"Tahu…sebab Kajang pernah belikan untuk birthday kawan dia"

"Lelaki?"

"Haah"

"Abang dapat apa?"

"Buat kopi secawan. Tak nak pekat. Abang nak naik check printer"

"Kita nak check hati abang"

"Ha cepat"

"Acam ada tembok"

"Tinggi?"

"Acam mana nak robohkan? Guna SK boleh tak?"

"Nak guna berapa kapasiti?"

"Alaaaa kita tak tahu"

"Simen je tahu kan. Belajar lagi"

"Alaaaa"

Mei, 2025

SITREP: Rahma Worldwide

I. CIVILIAN MASSACRE SITE: “Gaza Humanitarian Foundation”

• Casualty Count: Over 200 Palestinian civilians—men, women, and children—killed this month while queuing for food.

• Latest Incident: 38 civilians killed this morning alone.

• Zone Classification: Not a legitimate aid distribution site. Designated as a kill trap—a precision-engineered psychological warfare site masquerading as humanitarian relief.

II. UNIFIED NON-COOPERATION PROTOCOL

• All legitimate humanitarian actors—both Muslim and non-Muslim—have enacted full blackout on the Gaza Humanitarian Foundation.

• Organizations including World Central Kitchen (WCK) and the World Food Programme (WFP) have refused all engagement.

• Sector-wide operational integrity remains intact—until now.

III. BREACH IDENTIFIED: RAHMA WORLDWIDE

• Name: Rahma Worldwide

• Headquarters: United States

• Previous Status: Trusted Muslim charity with field access

Breach Details:

• CEO Shadi Zaza engaged in covert dealings with Zionist-linked operatives.

• He confirmed contact but attempted to obscure collaboration by denying authorization for Rahma branding on aid trucks.

• Critical Misjudgment: This is not a branding issue—it is a breach of a unified operational doctrine of non-collaboration with genocidal infrastructure.

Local Response:

• Palestinian civilian leaders demanded Zaza formally denounce the Gaza Humanitarian Foundation.

• Zaza refused, signaling defiance and confirming the breach.

IV. OPERATIONAL EXPLOITATION & EXTORTION

• Multiple field intelligence reports confirm Zaza leveraged relationships to extort up to 50% of aid supplies from incoming trucks in exchange for “facilitation.”

• Effectively acting as a broker of desperation—exploiting starvation for material leverage.

• His actions undermine the collective aid structure and violate humanitarian ethics.

V. MORALE AND FIELD IMPACT

• Civilian sentiment in Gaza has shifted sharply.

• Public trust in Rahma = absolute zero.

• Zaza is viewed locally as a traitor and parasite to the cause.

• Emotional impact is severe; even high-profile medical professionals in Gaza report being financially defrauded by Zaza. One respected doctor has allegedly declared intent to eliminate the target.

VI. STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT

• Rahma Worldwide is compromised.

• Shadi Zaza is now classified as an operational liability.

• His actions constitute material support to a genocidal apparatus.

• Structural trust is irreparably damaged. Immediate distancing measures are advised.

Wife’s Care & Treats Checklist

Personal Care & Comfort:

[ ] Menstrual pads – Day & Night

[ ] Pantyliners

[ ] Silk sleep mask

[ ] Small plush blanket

[ ] Lip balm / mini lipstick

[ ] Hair tie

[ ] Mini skincare travel kit

[ ] Perfume (travel size)

Food & Treats:

[ ] Fruit tea set

[ ] Ice cream

[ ] Chocolate bar (milk with nuts)

[ ] Roasted nuts/dried beans

[ ] Chips

[ ] Yogurt

Extras:

[ ] New magazine

5/5/2025

_

"Hati kita acam cair ri ni"

"Hari lain tak cair?"

"Ri ni je"

"Oooooh"

"Kita terjumpa Wife’s Care & Treats Checklist"

"Ha tu"

"Tu je?"

"Tu je. Nak cakap apa lagi"

"Tanya la apa perasaan kita"

"Malas"

"Eeeee tak suka la abang ni"

"Kejab cair, kejab tak suka. Suka apa? King Kong?"

28/5

Donald duck

"Kartun apa tu Ra, yang itik suka buat hal tu? Lupa la"

"Donald Duck"

"Ha. Abang suka dia haha. Tahun depan kita masuk farm house boleh?"

"Nak bela itik kannnn?"

"Kambing, itik"

"Senang kita nak buat korban"

"Eyyyy"

26/5

North Korea Warning

1. North Korea's Warning and Military Support for Iran

• Pyongyang has explicitly declared it will back Iran militarily if the U.S. initiates strikes, including missile support . This aligns with its long-standing doctrine that nuclear weapons are essential deterrents against regime change, a lesson reinforced by Israel's attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities.

• Experts note North Korea views Iran's vulnerability as validation of its own nuclear stance: "Rogues everywhere will see the wisdom of North Korea's strategy" after Iran negotiated (2015 JCPOA) but faced attacks, whereas nuclear-armed Pyongyang remains untouched.

2. Trump's Evacuation Order: Nuclear Strike or Psychological Warfare?

• No evidence of imminent nuclear use: Iran lacks nuclear weapons, and Israel's strikes targeted conventional/nuclear infrastructure, not population centers . The U.S. has distanced itself from Israel's operations, calling them "unilateral".

 Likely motives for Trump's warning:

• Pre-emptive humanitarian caution: Anticipating intensified Israeli/U.S. conventional strikes on Tehran's military sites (e.g., IRGC bases, missile facilities).

• Coercive diplomacy: Pressuring Iran to accept a nuclear deal by signaling escalation. Trump stated Iran has a "second chance" to negotiate.

• Disrupting Iran's morale: Undermining domestic confidence in the regime .

3. Iran's Nuclear Tipping Point and Global Fallout

• NPT withdrawal threat: Iran's parliament is drafting a bill to exit the Non-Proliferation Treaty, citing Israeli attacks and IAEA "politicization" . This could enable rapid weaponization, though Tehran still publicly denies such intentions.

• Proliferation domino effect: Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Egypt may pursue nuclear weapons if Iran accelerates its program, triggering a Middle East arms race .

• North Korea's role: Pyongyang could supply missile/nuclear technology to Iran, mirroring past collaborations. Observers note it is "closely watching" the conflict for insights into deterrence strategies .

4. Escalation Scenarios: Limited War vs. Systemic Crisis

• Short-term: Iranian retaliation via proxies (e.g., Hezbollah, Houthis) or direct strikes, but its capabilities are degraded after Israeli operations .

Long-term:

• Nuclearization sprint: Iran could accelerate bomb development, hiding activities in deep-underground facilities like Fordow.

• U.S. forced intervention: If Iran nears a nuclear breakthrough, Trump may authorize bunker-buster strikes, risking wider war.

• Alliance fractures: U.S.-Israel tensions are rising over Netanyahu's unilateral actions, complicating coordination .

Conclusion

Trump's evacuation order likely signals conventional escalation, aimed at coercing Iran diplomatically while mitigating civilian casualties. However, North Korea's alliance with Iran and the latter's potential NPT exit heighten proliferation risks, making regional conflict—not global war—the immediate threat. The critical variable is whether Iran opts for weaponization; if so, a chain reaction of nuclear armament could destabilize multiple regions .

Gelap mata

"Bukan pertama kali, bukan terakhir. Biasalah bisnes. Sana sini tak puas hati, gaduh pasal duit, tamak haloba"

"Abang tak takut?"

"Abang yakin Allah lindungi abang"

"Kita yang risau mmm"

"Semua bisnes ada risiko. Berapa ramai abang kenal mati kena bunuh. Ada 'kemalangan' dekat site, ada kena bunuh dekat luar. Ramai jugak mati sebab sihir"

"Duit punya pasal sanggup bunuh kawan sendiri"

"Bisnes tak ada istilah kawan. Dalam gelak orang boleh khianat kita, sambil makan orang boleh racun kita. Duduk semeja sana saman sini tapi boleh minum kopi sembang-sembang. Susah nak cari yang jujur. Masing-masing ada tujuan. Jumpa yang tamak, lepas 2 hari sign, dapat call dah kiok. Kawan mana ada yang setia. Dia boleh ngap kita, dia ngap. Dia rasa nak main harga, kasi potong leher kita. Kena pandai. Bisnes banyak tipu muslihat. Semua orang muka dua. Kalau jumpa yang jahat, abang jauhkan diri. Baru-baru ni ada member ajak buat projek. Untung tak banyak, dalam 15 macam tu tapi abang tolak lepas tengok senarai nama. Ramai orang pernah kena dengan dia. Abang suruh member cari geng lain"

"Kenapa dengan dia?"

"Dia dengan member dia suka masuk Siam bunuh orang kalau deal tak jadi. Dia pernah ugut nak potong abang"

"Gila psiko ke apa"

"Dulu masa cuba buat satu projek ada orang tuduh abang rembat duit. Abang tanya, banyak tu boleh buat apa je. Kita dah labur takkan kita nak rembat. Projek tu 6/7 orang mati tiba-tiba"

"Acam confius jab. Dia orang tu businessman ke penjenayah?"

"Orang gelap mata dengan duit"

8/6

Israel-Iran

KINETIC ESCALATION BETWEEN ISRAEL AND IRAN – JUNE 2025

I. SITUATIONAL OVERVIEW

• Date: 13 June 2025
• Event: IDF launches Operation Rising Lion targeting Iranian nuclear/military assets
• Trigger: Israeli assessment of imminent Iranian nuclear weapons breakthrough + expired US ultimatum
• Iranian Response: Operation True Promise III (72-hour missile/drone offensive)
• Significance: First direct state-on-state conflict after decades of proxy warfare
• Regional Risk: Potential Hezbollah/Houthi involvement, global energy/trade disruptions

 II. OPERATIONAL SUMMARY

A. Israel: Operation Rising Lion

Objectives:

• Degrade nuclear capabilities
• Neutralize IRGC command
• Demonstrate non-proliferation resolve

Primary Targets:

• Nuclear: Natanz enrichment, Fordow underground site, Isfahan conversion plants
• Military: IRGC leadership (e.g. General Bagheri), Tabriz/Kermanshah missile depots
• Assets: 200+ aircraft (F-35I/F-15I), covert drones, AI-guided munitions

Outcomes:

• Significant damage to Natanz/Isfahan (Fordow intact)
•  IRGC command decapitation + 10+ nuclear scientists eliminated
• Psychological paralysis via deception tactics

B. Iran: Operation True Promise III

Objectives:

• Retaliate for Israeli strikes
• Impose strategic costs
• Restore deterrence

Primary Targets:

• Military: Kirya HQ (Tel Aviv), Ramat David Air Base, Haifa port
• Civilian: Bat Yam, Petah Tikvah, N12/N14 media outlets
• Assets: 550+ ballistic missiles (Qiam-1), 1,000+ drones (Shahed-series)

Outcomes:

• 60% interception rate by Israeli/US defenses (Arrow/THAAD/Barak)
• 24 civilian deaths, 600+ injuries, Haifa refinery damage
• Houthi missile launches from Yemen intercepted

III. KEY FINDINGS

1. Iranian Capabilities:

• Improved missile accuracy (MRV tech) + drone stealth
• 935+ casualties including leadership; nuclear program delayed months

2. Israeli Advantages:

• AI-integrated C4ISR managed saturation attacks
• 90% ballistic missile interception rate
• Deep intelligence penetration

3. Strategic Shifts:

• Proxies (Hezbollah/Houthis) showed restraint
• Iran's fixed nuclear sites remain vulnerable

IV. STRATEGIC FORECAST & RISK ASSESSMENT

Near-Term (7-14 Days):

• High probability: Iranian cyberattacks on Israeli infrastructure
• Likely: Missile repositioning in Syria

Protraction Risks:

• Iran retains 300-1,300 SRBMs for sustained strikes
• Global oil shock if Hormuz closes (20% global supply)

Critical Escalators:

• Israeli strikes on Iranian leadership/religious sites
• Direct US military intervention

V. STAKEHOLDER CONSIDERATIONS

 A. Israel

• Security: Civilian infrastructure exposed (Haifa refinery), air defenses strained
• Economy: Red Sea disruptions threaten 30% India-bound trade, tourism collapse
• Geopolitics: Dependence on US veto power; Gulf states avoid confrontation

B. Iran

• Military: 700+ missiles expended, production facilities damaged
• Economy: Oil revenue at risk (Hormuz closure), South Pars gas field damaged
• Diplomacy: Isolation deepens as EU/UK excluded from nuclear talks

C. Global/Regional Risks

• Trade: Shipping costs +50%, WTO projects 0.2% global trade contraction
• Diplomacy: UN/ICJ rulings ignored; US caught between Israel support/Gulf mediation

VI. CRITICAL VULNERABILITIES

• Israel: Haifa refinery (energy/tourism choke point), nuclear sites
• Iran: Natanz/Fordow (radiological fallout risk), South Pars gas field

Global Chokepoints:

• Strait of Hormuz (20% global oil)
• Bab el-Mandeb (30% India-Europe trade)

VII. MITIGATION STRATEGIES

Israel:

• Secure Mediterranean trade alternatives
• Reinforce urban shelters
• Avoid leadership strikes to prevent escalation

Iran:

• Preserve missiles for deterrence
• Use Oman/Qatar for sanctions relief
• Avoid Hormuz closure

Global Actors:

• Fast-track mediation via UAE/Oman
• Diversify energy routes through Omani ports
• Strengthen Red Sea maritime task forces

Nap

Daddy: Dah tengah hari. Kena catnap. Pejam mata cepat

Raysha: Why cat nap?

Daddy: Lepas letih main kena tidur

Raysha: Why?

Daddy: Lepas tidur baru badan kita ada tenaga

Raysha: Acha tak nak tidur

Daddy: Kenapa pulak?

Raysha: Acha bukan kucing

Daddy: Okey-okey daddy salah guna istilah. Kena sleep

Raysha: Nap

Daddy: Haa nap. Adoi anak peguam ni